2004 BD NCAA Football Rankings

Methodology: Fractional probit regression on binary win–loss outcome

Data source: www.collegebcs.com

E-mail jdesimon@coba.usf.edu with questions or comments

	Includes Bowls (through Jan. 4)			Regular Season (through Dec. 4)
	HFA = .443			HFA = .448
1	Southern Cal	8.252	1	Oklahoma	8.053
2	Auburn	7.805	2	Southern Cal	7.752
3	Oklahoma	7.597	3	Auburn	7.326
4	Texas	7.285	4	Texas	7.135
5	Utah	6.828	5	California	6.908
6	California	6.282	6	Utah	6.873
7	Louisville	6.270	7	Boise St	6.537
8	Georgia	6.265	8	Virginia Tech	6.088
9	Boise St	6.115	9	Louisville	6.022
10	Virginia Tech	6.100	10	LSU	5.939
11	Iowa	6.032	11	Georgia	5.828
12	Tennessee	5.966	12	Texas A&M	5.777
13	Arizona St	5.816	13	Iowa	5.722
14	Texas Tech	5.781	14	Arizona St	5.636
15	LSU	5.760	15	Miami-Florida	5.554
16	Miami-Florida	5.615	16	Oklahoma St	5.551
17	Oregon St	5.611	17	Texas Tech	5.508
18	Texas A&M	5.535	18	Oregon St	5.499
19	Michigan	5.507	19	Tennessee	5.497
20	Oklahoma St	5.312	20	Michigan	5.403
21	Wisconsin	5.306	21	Virginia	5.398
22	Florida St	5.301	22	Wisconsin	5.305
23	Virginia	5.240	23	Florida St	5.220
24	Colorado	5.198	24	North Carolina	5.206
25	Ohio State	5.194	25	Colorado	5.127
26	Boston College	5.109	26	Georgia Tech	4.976
27	Georgia Tech	5.098	27	Ohio State	4.926
28	North Carolina	4.991	28	New Mexico	4.870
29	Fresno St	4.956	29	Purdue	4.810
30	Pittsburgh	4.919	30	Clemson	4.804
31	Clemson	4.845	31	UTEP	4.779
32	UTEP	4.833	32	Pittsburgh	4.770
33	Purdue	4.822	33	Boston College	4.719
34	New Mexico	4.811	34	Notre Dame	4.715
35	Notre Dame	4.781	35	Florida	4.678
36	West Virginia	4.770	36	Memphis	4.677
37	Navy	4.719	37	UCLA	4.673
38	Florida	4.683	38	West Virginia	4.662
39	Bowling Green	4.675	39	Iowa State	4.566
40	Iowa State	4.664	40	North Carolina St	4.542
41	North Carolina St	4.629	41	Fresno St	4.539
42	Syracuse	4.586	42	Washington St	4.517
43	Washington St	4.537	43	Syracuse	4.486
44	Louisiana Tech	4.530	44	Arkansas	4.389
45	Northwestern	4.527	45	Northwestern	4.365
46	Connecticut	4.525	46	Toledo	4.362
47	UCLA	4.485	47	Navy	4.355
48	Arkansas	4.481	48	Maryland	4.343
49	Maryland	4.445	49	Louisiana Tech	4.313
50	Memphis	4.434	50	Cincinnati	4.270
51	Toledo	4.404	51	Kansas	4.270
52	Wyoming	4.383	52	Nebraska	4.254
53	Cincinnati	4.374	53	Oregon	4.238
54	Kansas	4.366	54	Southern Miss	4.218
55	Minnesota	4.351	55	South Carolina	4.218
56	Nebraska	4.331	56	Connecticut	4.212
57	South Carolina	4.277	57	UAB	4.206
58	Northern Ill	4.269	58	BYU	4.166
59	Southern Miss	4.267	59	Arizona	4.155
60	Hawaii	4.267	60	Missouri	4.152
61	Oregon	4.253	61	Wyoming	4.145
62	BYU	4.238	62	Stanford	4.130
63	Arizona	4.187	63	Alabama	4.114
64	Missouri	4.163	64	Minnesota	4.114
65	Stanford	4.154	65	Bowling Green	4.056
66	Kansas St	4.110	66	North Texas	4.003
67	Wake Forest	4.042	67	Troy St	4.000
68	UAB	4.024	68	Baylor	3.997
69	Alabama	4.019	69	Kansas St	3.996
70	Michigan St	4.018	70	Wake Forest	3.963
71	Baylor	3.935	71	Miami-Ohio	3.908
72	Miami-Ohio	3.922	72	Mississippi	3.886
73	Mississippi	3.920	73	Hawaii	3.884
74	North Texas	3.870	74	Michigan St	3.856
75	Penn State	3.845	75	Northern Ill	3.777
76	Air Force	3.827	76	Air Force	3.732
77	Troy St	3.755	77	Tulane	3.704
78	Tulane	3.753	78	Penn State	3.690
79	TCU	3.747	79	TCU	3.689
80	San Diego St	3.742	80	San Diego St	3.664
81	Colorado St	3.730	81	Colorado St	3.640
82	Duke	3.611	82	New Mexico St	3.625
83	Tulsa	3.582	83	Duke	3.556
84	New Mexico St	3.577	84	South Florida	3.517
85	South Florida	3.539	85	Marshall	3.426
86	SMU	3.398	86	Tulsa	3.419
87	Houston	3.379	87	Houston	3.345
88	Temple	3.344	88	LA-Monroe	3.324
89	Marshall	3.331	89	SMU	3.227
90	Nevada	3.302	90	Middle Tenn St	3.221
91	LA-Monroe	3.286	91	Temple	3.145
92	Rutgers	3.267	92	Akron	3.144
93	Indiana	3.266	93	Indiana	3.142
94	Akron	3.198	94	Nevada	3.140
95	Rice	3.196	95	Illinois	3.106
96	Illinois	3.194	96	Rutgers	3.104
97	Middle Tenn St	3.181	97	Utah St	3.088
98	UNLV	3.085	98	Arkansas St	3.041
99	Utah St	3.028	99	UNLV	3.005
100	Army	3.004	100	LA-Lafayette	3.000
101	LA-Lafayette	2.993	101	Rice	2.983
102	Mississippi St	2.987	102	Mississippi St	2.962
103	Arkansas St	2.912	103	Army	2.939
104	East Carolina	2.894	104	East Carolina	2.888
105	Idaho	2.835	105	Idaho	2.858
106	Washington	2.732	106	Washington	2.655
107	San Jose St	2.654	107	San Jose St	2.496
108	Kent St	2.547	108	Kent St	2.474
109	Vanderbilt	2.529	109	Vanderbilt	2.446
110	Kentucky	2.477	110	Kentucky	2.406
111	Ohio	2.453	111	Ohio	2.373
112	Central Mich	2.252	112	Central Mich	2.117
113	Eastern Mich	2.223	113	Eastern Mich	2.103
114	Buffalo	1.704	114	Buffalo	1.587
115	Western Mich	1.387	115	Western Mich	1.275
116	Ball State	1.373	116	Ball State	1.244
117	UCF	0.000	117	UCF	0.000