2004 BD NCAA Football Rankings

Methodology: Fractional probit regression on binary win–loss outcome

Data source: www.collegebcs.com

E-mail jdesimon@coba.usf.edu with questions or comments

	Includes Bowls (through Jan. 4)			Regular Season (through Dec. 4)
	HFA = .443			HFA = .448
1	Southern Cal	8.252	1	Oklahoma	8.053
2	Auburn	7.805	2	Southern Cal	7.752
3	Oklahoma	7.597	3	Auburn	7.326
4	Texas	7.285	4	Texas	7.135
5	Utah	6.828	5	California	6.908
6	California	6.282	6	Utah	6.873
7	Louisville	6.270	7	Boise St	6.537
8	Georgia	6.265	8	Virginia Tech	6.088
9	Boise St	6.115	9	Louisville	6.022
10	Virginia Tech	6.100	10	LSU	5.939
11	Iowa	6.032	11	Georgia	5.828
12	Tennessee	5.966	12	Texas A&M	5.777
13	Arizona St	5.816	13	Iowa	5.722
14	Texas Tech	5.781	14	Arizona St	5.636
15	LSU	5.760	15	Miami-Florida	5.554
16	Miami-Florida	5.615	16	Oklahoma St	5.551
17	Oregon St	5.611	17	Texas Tech	5.508
18	Texas A&M	5.535	18	Oregon St	5.499
19	Michigan	5.507	19	Tennessee	5.497
20	Oklahoma St	5.312	20	Michigan	5.403
21	Wisconsin	5.306	21	Virginia	5.398
22	Florida St	5.301	22	Wisconsin	5.305
23	Virginia	5.240	23	Florida St	5.220
24	Colorado	5.198	24	North Carolina	5.206
25	Ohio State	5.194	25	Colorado	5.127
26	Boston College	5.109	26	Georgia Tech	4.976
27	Georgia Tech	5.098	27	Ohio State	4.926
28	North Carolina	4.991	28	New Mexico	4.870
29	Fresno St	4.956	29	Purdue	4.810
30	Pittsburgh	4.919	30	Clemson	4.804
31	Clemson	4.845	31	UTEP	4.779
32	UTEP	4.833	32	Pittsburgh	4.770
33	Purdue	4.822	33	Boston College	4.719
34	New Mexico	4.811	34	Notre Dame	4.715
35	Notre Dame	4.781	35	Florida	4.678
36	West Virginia	4.770	36	Memphis	4.677
37	Navy	4.719	37	UCLA	4.673
38	Florida	4.683	38	West Virginia	4.662
39	Bowling Green	4.675	39	Iowa State	4.566
40	Iowa State	4.664	40	North Carolina St	4.542
41	North Carolina St	4.629	41	Fresno St	4.539
42	Syracuse	4.586	42	Washington St	4.517
43	Washington St	4.537	43	Syracuse	4.486
44	Louisiana Tech	4.530	44	Arkansas	4.389
45	Northwestern	4.527	45	Northwestern	4.365
46	Connecticut	4.525	46	Toledo	4.362
47	UCLA	4.485	47	Navy	4.355
48	Arkansas	4.481	48	Maryland	4.343
49	Maryland	4.445	49	Louisiana Tech	4.313
50	Memphis	4.434	50	Cincinnati	4.270
51	Toledo	4.404	51	Kansas	4.270
52	Wyoming	4.383	52	Nebraska	4.254
53	Cincinnati	4.374	53	Oregon	4.238
54	Kansas	4.366	54	Southern Miss	4.218
55	Minnesota	4.351	55	South Carolina	4.218
56	Nebraska	4.331	56	Connecticut	4.212
57	South Carolina	4.277	57	UAB	4.206
58	Northern Ill	4.269	58	BYU	4.166
59	Southern Miss	4.267	59	Arizona	4.155
60	Hawaii	4.267	60	Missouri	4.152
61	Oregon	4.253	61	Wyoming	4.145
62	BYU	4.238	62	Stanford	4.130
63	Arizona	4.187	63	Alabama	4.114
64	Missouri	4.163	64	Minnesota	4.114
65	Stanford	4.154	65	Bowling Green	4.056
66	Kansas St	4.110	66	North Texas	4.003
67	Wake Forest	4.042	67	Troy St	4.000
68	UAB	4.024	68	Baylor	3.997
69	Alabama	4.019	69	Kansas St	3.996
70	Michigan St	4.018	70	Wake Forest	3.963
71	Baylor	3.935	71	Miami-Ohio	3.908
72	Miami-Ohio	3.922	72	Mississippi	3.886
73	Mississippi	3.920	73	Hawaii	3.884
74	North Texas	3.870