2004 BD NCAA Football Rankings

Methodology: Fractional probit regression on binary win–loss outcome

Data source: www.collegebcs.com

E-mail jdesimon@coba.usf.edu with questions or comments

                  

 

 

 

Includes Bowls (through Jan. 4)

 

 

Regular Season (through Dec. 4)

 

HFA = .443

 

 

HFA = .448

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1

Southern Cal

8.252

 

 

1

Oklahoma

8.053

2

Auburn

7.805

2

Southern Cal

7.752

3

Oklahoma

7.597

3

Auburn

7.326

4

Texas

7.285

4

Texas

7.135

5

Utah

6.828

5

California

6.908

6

California

6.282

6

Utah

6.873

7

Louisville

6.270

7

Boise St

6.537

8

Georgia

6.265

8

Virginia Tech

6.088

9

Boise St

6.115

9

Louisville

6.022

10

Virginia Tech

6.100

10

LSU

5.939

11

Iowa

6.032

11

Georgia

5.828

12

Tennessee

5.966

12

Texas A&M

5.777

13

Arizona St

5.816

13

Iowa

5.722

14

Texas Tech

5.781

14

Arizona St

5.636

15

LSU

5.760

15

Miami-Florida

5.554

16

Miami-Florida

5.615

16

Oklahoma St

5.551

17

Oregon St

5.611

17

Texas Tech

5.508

18

Texas A&M

5.535

18

Oregon St

5.499

19

Michigan

5.507

19

Tennessee

5.497

20

Oklahoma St

5.312

20

Michigan

5.403

21

Wisconsin

5.306

21

Virginia

5.398

22

Florida St

5.301

22

Wisconsin

5.305

23

Virginia

5.240

23

Florida St

5.220

24

Colorado

5.198

24

North Carolina

5.206

25

Ohio State

5.194

25

Colorado

5.127

26

Boston College

5.109

26

Georgia Tech

4.976

27

Georgia Tech

5.098

27

Ohio State

4.926

28

North Carolina

4.991

28

New Mexico

4.870

29

Fresno St

4.956

29

Purdue

4.810

30

Pittsburgh

4.919

30

Clemson

4.804

31

Clemson

4.845

31

UTEP

4.779

32

UTEP

4.833

32

Pittsburgh

4.770

33

Purdue

4.822

33

Boston College

4.719

34

New Mexico

4.811

34

Notre Dame

4.715

35

Notre Dame

4.781

35

Florida

4.678

36

West Virginia

4.770

36

Memphis

4.677

37

Navy

4.719

37

UCLA

4.673

38

Florida

4.683

38

West Virginia

4.662

39

Bowling Green

4.675

39

Iowa State

4.566

40

Iowa State

4.664

40

North Carolina St

4.542

41

North Carolina St

4.629

41

Fresno St

4.539

42

Syracuse

4.586

42

Washington St

4.517

43

Washington St

4.537

43

Syracuse

4.486

44

Louisiana Tech

4.530

44

Arkansas

4.389

45

Northwestern

4.527

45

Northwestern

4.365

46

Connecticut

4.525

46

Toledo

4.362

47

UCLA

4.485

47

Navy

4.355

48

Arkansas

4.481

48

Maryland

4.343

49

Maryland

4.445

49

Louisiana Tech

4.313

50

Memphis

4.434

50

Cincinnati

4.270

51

Toledo

4.404

51

Kansas

4.270

52

Wyoming

4.383

52

Nebraska

4.254

53

Cincinnati

4.374

53

Oregon

4.238

54

Kansas

4.366

54

Southern Miss

4.218

55

Minnesota

4.351

55

South Carolina

4.218

56

Nebraska

4.331

56

Connecticut

4.212

57

South Carolina

4.277

57

UAB

4.206

58

Northern Ill

4.269

58

BYU

4.166

59

Southern Miss

4.267

59

Arizona

4.155

60

Hawaii

4.267

60

Missouri

4.152

61

Oregon

4.253

61

Wyoming

4.145

62

BYU

4.238

62

Stanford

4.130

63

Arizona

4.187

63

Alabama

4.114

64

Missouri

4.163

64

Minnesota

4.114

65

Stanford

4.154

65

Bowling Green

4.056

66

Kansas St

4.110

66

North Texas

4.003

67

Wake Forest

4.042

67

Troy St

4.000

68

UAB

4.024

68

Baylor

3.997

69

Alabama

4.019

69

Kansas St

3.996

70

Michigan St

4.018

70

Wake Forest

3.963

71

Baylor

3.935

71

Miami-Ohio

3.908

72

Miami-Ohio

3.922

72

Mississippi

3.886

73

Mississippi

3.920

73

Hawaii

3.884

74

North Texas

3.870

74

Michigan St

3.856

75

Penn State

3.845

75

Northern Ill

3.777

76

Air Force

3.827

76

Air Force

3.732

77

Troy St

3.755

77

Tulane

3.704

78

Tulane

3.753

78

Penn State

3.690

79

TCU

3.747

79

TCU

3.689

80

San Diego St

3.742

80

San Diego St

3.664

81

Colorado St

3.730

81

Colorado St

3.640

82

Duke

3.611

82

New Mexico St

3.625

83

Tulsa

3.582

83

Duke

3.556

84

New Mexico St

3.577

84

South Florida

3.517

85

South Florida

3.539

85

Marshall

3.426

86

SMU

3.398

86

Tulsa

3.419

87

Houston

3.379

87

Houston

3.345

88

Temple

3.344

88

LA-Monroe

3.324

89

Marshall

3.331

89

SMU

3.227

90

Nevada

3.302

90

Middle Tenn St

3.221

91

LA-Monroe

3.286

91

Temple

3.145

92

Rutgers

3.267

92

Akron

3.144

93

Indiana

3.266

93

Indiana

3.142

94

Akron

3.198

94

Nevada

3.140

95

Rice

3.196

95

Illinois

3.106

96

Illinois

3.194

96

Rutgers

3.104

97

Middle Tenn St

3.181

97

Utah St

3.088

98

UNLV

3.085

98

Arkansas St

3.041

99

Utah St

3.028

99

UNLV

3.005

100

Army

3.004

100

LA-Lafayette

3.000

101

LA-Lafayette

2.993

101

Rice

2.983

102

Mississippi St

2.987

102

Mississippi St

2.962

103

Arkansas St

2.912

103

Army

2.939

104

East Carolina

2.894

104

East Carolina

2.888

105

Idaho

2.835

105

Idaho

2.858

106

Washington

2.732

106

Washington

2.655

107

San Jose St

2.654

107

San Jose St

2.496

108

Kent St

2.547

108

Kent St

2.474

109

Vanderbilt

2.529

109

Vanderbilt

2.446

110

Kentucky

2.477

110

Kentucky

2.406

111

Ohio

2.453

111

Ohio

2.373

112

Central Mich

2.252

112

Central Mich

2.117

113

Eastern Mich

2.223

113

Eastern Mich

2.103

114

Buffalo

1.704

114

Buffalo

1.587

115

Western Mich

1.387

115

Western Mich

1.275

116

Ball State

1.373

116

Ball State

1.244

117

UCF

0.000

117

UCF

0.000